Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.041547 0.045145 0.048770 0.052692 0.056807 0.060992 0.065562
2025-09-28 0.036835 0.042237 0.047859 0.054121 0.060879 0.067927 0.075814
2025-10-05 0.031730 0.038300 0.045345 0.053406 0.062318 0.071820 0.082664
2025-10-12 0.028323 0.035823 0.044083 0.053756 0.064672 0.076521 0.090263
2025-10-19 0.025796 0.034057 0.043379 0.054519 0.067317 0.081418 0.097991
2025-10-26 0.023633 0.032497 0.042729 0.055186 0.069723 0.085954 0.105250
2025-11-02 0.020451 0.029466 0.040141 0.053405 0.069150 0.086977 0.108426
2025-11-09 0.018345 0.027580 0.038770 0.052924 0.069973 0.089506 0.113243
2025-11-16 0.016596 0.026007 0.037664 0.052658 0.070962 0.092160 0.118150
2025-11-23 0.015858 0.025677 0.038050 0.054170 0.074049 0.097254 0.125893
2025-11-30 0.015058 0.025200 0.038198 0.055348 0.076704 0.101824 0.133021
2025-12-07 0.014126 0.024474 0.037975 0.056016 0.078705 0.105596 0.139200
2025-12-14 0.013042 0.023496 0.037406 0.056256 0.080216 0.108843 0.144850
2025-12-21 0.012460 0.023190 0.037704 0.057595 0.083092 0.113753 0.152516
2025-12-28 0.011145 0.021732 0.036381 0.056776 0.083223 0.115301 0.156136
2026-01-04 0.010338 0.020968 0.035961 0.057103 0.084775 0.118572 0.161828
2026-01-11 0.009744 0.020485 0.035898 0.057878 0.086880 0.122515 0.168337
2026-01-18 0.009168 0.019988 0.035783 0.058561 0.088854 0.126291 0.174646
2026-01-25 0.007895 0.018273 0.033848 0.056707 0.087486 0.125862 0.175771
2026-02-01 0.007111 0.017297 0.032933 0.056205 0.087846 0.127571 0.179507
2026-02-08 0.006450 0.016475 0.032204 0.055927 0.088474 0.129599 0.183628
2026-02-15 0.006293 0.016530 0.032791 0.057497 0.091562 0.134756 0.191654
2026-02-22 0.006063 0.016434 0.033136 0.058720 0.094187 0.139330 0.198966